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Operations Management - Jun 2015
Mechanical Engg. (Semester 8)
TOTAL MARKS: 100
TOTAL TIME: 3 HOURS
(1) Question 1 is compulsory.
(2) Attempt any four from the remaining questions.
(3) Assume data wherever required.
(4) Figures to the right indicate full marks.
1 (a) Explain 'Scientific Management' and its origin.(5 marks)
1 (b) What is Operations Management?(5 marks)
1 (c) What is Productivity? Mention how it can be improved.(5 marks)
1 (d) Suppose a company produced 300 standard book cases last week using 8 workers and it produced 240 standard book cases this week using 6 workers. In which week was productivity higher?(5 marks)
2 (a) Explain what 'Uncertainty' is and how this can be overcome in operations management.(8 marks)
2 (b) Explain 'Bayes Theorem' with notations. A study of old buses shows the probability of an accident by over speeding is 0.8, and the probability of over speeding alone is 0.3. The probability of an accident occurring due to non over speeding reduces to 0.1. Recently an accident occurred. What is the probability that the bus was overspeeding?(6 marks)
2 (c) Maximize 3x1+5x2, given x1+2x2≥2000, x1+x2≥1500, x2≥600 by graphical method.(6 marks)
3 (a) Explain the 'Moving Average' and 'Simple Exponential Smoothing' methods of forecasting.(8 marks)
3 (b) Explain 'Linear Regression' method for trend analysis by least squares. Explain any simplification possible.(6 marks)
3 (c) The data given below refers to past sales for last eleven years. Using least squares estimate sales forecast for the next two years. Also use 'Moving Average' for 3 years and compare the forecasts.
| Year | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 |
| Sales Rs. ×100 | 35 | 50 | 48 | 47 | 50 | 55 | 65 | 77 | 92 | 86 | 100 |
(6 marks)
8 (a) Explain the importance of purchase and supply management.(6 marks)
8 (b) Explain the concept of tenders and logistics management.(6 marks)
8 (c) Micro-Brush requires a new component for their laptop cleaning machines. The company must decide whether to make or buy them. If it decides to make them. Should it use process A or process B? Use a Break-Even analysis to advise them if the following data is given: i) Should Micro make using process A or B or buy?
ii) At what annual volumes should Micro switch from each make/buy decision to the other?
| Make A | Make B | Buy | |
| Annual volume | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,00 |
| Fixed cost/year | Rs. 150,000 | Rs. 2,00,000 | |
| Variable cost/unit | Rs. 100 | Rs. 50 | Rs. 200 |

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